Channeling Stocks to Predict Stock Price Movement


Channeling stocks is a simple strategy which provides a very identifiable pattern that shows up in the history of a stock. By looking back a few months in a stock's history, you will see repeated waves, generally between a high and a low price over a period of time.


Channeling Stocks as a Strategy


Channeling uses price movement to determine when to get into a stock and when to get out based on what the stock has been doing in the past. After a few waves up and down, a pattern starts to develop that makes the stock price predictable in the future.

To improve the strategy, lines can be drawn along the common peaks and common valleys creating what can be visualized as "channels" and represents a strong support and resistance line.

This is a special strategy that allows you to know exactly when to sell your shares based on the historical resistance line.




Example of Channeling Stocks


For example, I'm using Dominion Energy (D) stock.

I have chosen the support and resistance lines based on three points of data each. Each of the three points of data for resistance is at $73.40. Each of the three points of data for support is at $69.70. You see all six points of data with highlighted circles in the example below.


Channeling Stocks Example for Dominion.


At the point of the third circle of resistance is when the channel is complete and prediction can start.

Where do you think it's going to go next?


Channeling prediction of stock movement.

If you guessed down, you would be correct.

So, when do you make the purchase?

Well, after it dropped below the support line then pushed back up, I would wait to see what it does the next day. In this case I would buy shortly after the open, which was higher than the last close, around $70.46.

Let's say, theoretically, we bought 100 shares at $70.46 at a value of $7,046.00.

Now let's give it a few days and see what it does. Based on the channeling stocks theory, it should go back up, eventually hitting the resistance line.

At this point, immediately after making the trade, set a "Good 'till Cancelled" or GTC Sell Limit order of $72.40.

The theory behind this strategy is to predict the next move based on the history of the stock. History has shown in the past two months that the stock has been bouncing up and down between support and resistance. Since it just bounced off the support line, it's time to go back up.

If it goes back up to $72.40 where we set our limit, the 100 shares will be worth $7,240.00 and they will automatically trigger to sell.

That will be a profit of $194.00.

Of course this is only an example for illustrative purposes. A little research of other stocks can potentially give more profit.




NOTE:
Always look at other signals when making a trade decision. Don't trade on one signal alone.



So, what happened?

We bought on a Friday, the 24th of September. On Monday, the price actually dropped, continuing a little below the support line. This scared me a bit, but with other signals and indicators showing an upswing in the near future, I'm not too worried yet.

In the illustration below, you can see the price prediction line followed the candles all the way until it breached the Resistance Line on 8 October 2018. The green line was the buy point and the thin dotted pink line is the level at time of purchase.

Our Stop Limit triggered at $72.40 where we set our limit. The 100 shares sold for $7,240.00 and there was a profit of $194.00.

Better yet, it sold before 10 October 2018 when the market started dropping like a rock. Dominion is even showing signs of dropping with the last two candles and other indicators so it was probably a great time to sell.



This is the perfect example of Channeling Stocks. Even though we could have made a little more money by holding, it's best to stick to an exit plan and sell as planned.

Don't be greedy with this and you won't lose.

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